AP market improved, prompting fertilizer price hike

By the end of July, in addition to Shandong, Henan drought-affected local fertilizer market has not yet ended, the other regional sales basically have come to an end, all fertilizer companies began converting wheat fertilizer and prepayments received in advance, the larger preferential, Shandong some manufacturers 45% cl (15:15:15) after removal of the actual turnover of the ex-factory incentives generally in 1750-1800 yuan (t price, the same below), while in Jiangsu Province, the price usually in 1650-1700 yuan. It is understood that the transaction conditions are less than ideal. Shandong, Hubei, some companies plan autumn fertilizer prices were stepped up operations to break up the off-season, high season prices spell.

Enter August, ammonium prices soaring, around late July from the factory jumped to about 1900 yuan 2100 yuan now, and generally control orders, we understand the recent fertilizer factory prices of goods have been received about 2100 yuan, and Shandong and other markets around the library offer has reached 2200 yuan. Although the high price of the volume is not large, but the momentum of rising ammonium still can not be underestimated, the industry more than that, at least until September the price can not fall in exports, positive support.

With the soaring price of ammonium, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui and Hubei region fertilizer companies have raised the offer, whether it is sulfur, chloro or nitro fertilizer, different degrees of increase has 50-100 yuan, due to higher prices, also indirectly stimulating fertilizer take the goods. Now the domestic 45% cl (15:15:15) mainstream factory price of about 1850-1900 yuan, the mainstream price 1750-1800 yuan in general, Jiangsu low turnover in less than 1700 yuan, and Shandong offer slightly higher, some manufacturers offer in 1900-2000 yuan; 45% cl nitrogen, high-phosphorus fertilizer in autumn wheat, such as 45% cl (25: 12: 8), 45% cl (18: 22: 5) and other mainstream factory price 1800- about 1900 yuan, tower technology generally offer more than 1900 yuan; 45% s (15:15:15) mainstream factory price of about 2200-2300 yuan, which dechlorination products factory price rose steadily, at about 2150 yuan price pure sulfur quote is generally more than 2350 yuan, more than 2500 yuan in high-end quote; 45% (15:15:15) nitro group quoted in the mainstream tower around 3000 yuan, about 2700-2800 yuan offer low-end, high-end offer in about 3200 yuan, the price temporarily stable, but 45% (15: 6:24), 45% (16: 9:20), 44% (16: 4:24) and other nitro-fertilizer prices steady rise, individual business plan the latter will offer up about 150-200 yuan.

An ammonium and potassium fertilizer prices are supporting the greatest force. AP digestion domestic export excess pressure, then prices in high-cost support, leading to the fall of the high fertilizer prices upward; while continuing Huojin potassium, Luo K still overhaul, prices are rising, prices are more affected by supporting high-potassium fertilizer is clearly upward. Urea fluctuations elusive in the first half of this year the price of urea shock downstream, when dressing finally rose slightly, while the end of the dressing, initially did not support the export price shocks down again, but recently international prices up, export fade good, domestic urea prices will gradually stabilize.

On the whole, August fertilizer prices have a certain inevitability, there is a certain chance, it would be because the price has dropped to early low season prices this is a matter of course, and occasionally refers to the rapid rebound of ammonium phosphate prices. However, the degree of improvement in the environment is not ideal, in the case of lack of confidence weak demand, the recent significant gains in fertilizer, but is expected to post will gradually stabilized, while September and October can hold depends on whether the price of raw material prices trends and the actual situation of each enterprise or bad receivables